Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills might not be the Super Bowl favorite they were touted to be before the 2023 season began.

But the Bills are certainly on the doorstep of the NFL postseason.

After a 5-5 start forced them to make a change at offensive coordinator, the Bills are 10-6 and currently slotted as the No. 6 seed in the AFC playoff race with one very big game remaining.

The playoff clinching scenarios are straightforward for the Bills: Win against the Miami Dolphins and win the AFC East for a fourth consecutive season. Lose and the scenario gets much more complicated.

How Bills can win AFC East

Win.

NFL STATS CENTRAL: The latest NFL scores, schedules, odds, stats and more.

The Bills survived at home against the New England Patriots during Week 17, but they will now go on the road against the Dolphins in the regular-season finale on ‘Sunday Night Football.’ If the Bills win they will claim the AFC East and the conference’s No. 2 seed, which will play the No. 7 seed during the NFL’s wild-card round.

Can Bills make playoffs if they lose?

If Miami wins Sunday night’s matchup, they’ll win their first AFC East title since 2008. And Buffalo will be hoping at least one of the following things happened beforehand:

Steelers loss or tie at Ravens on Saturday ORJaguars loss or tie at Titans on Sunday ORTexans at Colts game Sunday ends in a tie

The Bills would also get a wild-card bid with a tie against the Dolphins.

Bills seeding scenarios ahead of Week 18

A win against the Dolphins will secure the No. 2 seed for the Bills. If Buffalo falls to Miami (or ties) and gets the help needed to make the postseason, it would be as a No. 6 or No. 7 seed. The Browns (11-5) have already clinched the No. 5 spot.